Forbes Recession Watch: Tariffs Loom as Odds of Economic Downturn Surge Before Trump's 'Liberation Day'
Topline Multiple economists have cautioned that the Trump administration might inadvertently drive the U.S. into an avoidable recession, given President Donald Trump and his chief economic advisors' approaches. refuse to rule out A downturn, shaking both Wall Street and consumers—and the statistics provided below can assist in assessing just how near the economy might be to reaching a critical juncture. Key Facts Goldman Sachs economists hiked They revised the likelihood of a recession occurring within the coming year from 20% to 35%, issuing a gloomy update to clients on Sunday. This came with increased projections for both inflation and joblessness, alongside reduced expectations for economic expansion. Economists at JPMorgan hold an even bleaker outlook, estimating a 40% chance of a downturn. The UCLA Anderson Graduate School of Management published earlier this month, an official "Economic Downturn Alert" was initiated ...